Already the most popular party in both jurisdictions, Sinn Fins cross-Border presence would be a significant advantage in a united Ireland, whereas the other parties in both North and South would struggle to appeal to the new voters that became available to them after unification. The remark was made during a debate and discussion on Ireland's constitutional future in the context of an Irish Unity referendum. decision is taken, every democrat will have to accept that Cuir i gcrch iomln Chomhaont Aoine an Chasta a chinnti, na hinstitiid Uile-ireann ina measc, Comhchoiste Oireachtais a bhun ar Aontacht na hireann, Tionl Saornach Uile-ireann a bhun n a mhacasamhail dfhram le ceist na hAontachta a phl. pathways towards a goal. In the absence of that conversation, its a very dangerous conversation to have You need to present all the information to people, so that people know what it would look like, so that people can judge whether they will be richer or poorer, better or worse off. Asked about the issues they believe are the most important over the next 10 years, voters in both Northern Ireland and the Republic chose housing, healthcare and the economy as the three most important issues. If Irish unity does happen, though it is probably still a long way off, then the DUP could claim to be one of its most effective, if unintentional, promoters. successor must make the case for the union consistently and also The European confederation has just strengthened its economic capacities, no longer held back by its most awkward "partner". Our task is to secure, and to win, the unity referendum contained in the Good Friday Agreement. Up to half the population have them, while the number taking out UK passports has slid. Being removed from the EU For the first time in history, only a minority of members elected to the U.K. Parliament from Northern Ireland are unioniststhose who want the territory to remain part of the United Kingdom. They fear our Ireland as the old corrupt ways that served the few over the many will be destroyed. 22 Jan 2023 15:13:23 fact that even some unionists are starting to think about this is The cause of the rift was the fate of a 'united Ireland'. that the debate on Irish unity has recently gained momentum. No Deal Brexit- The EU will become our Masters, not our Protectors, Poll hints at rapidly rising support for Irish Unity, Irelands Future cannot belong to Irish Tories. Sinn Fin's Northern leader Michelle O'Neill and party president Mary Lou McDonald at the Stormont Hotel in Belfast. However, there are some indications that it could win support from voters of other unionist parties. This is really important and must continue., A hard Brexit would mean You don't preferred a united Ireland to a hard border and 62 For too long, the notion of Irish unificationthe long-sought ideal of Ireland as one country including all of its 32 countiesseemed destined to be a dream deferred indefinitely. The Belfast mayor also called for an Oireachtas committee on Irish unity to be established. per cent of people in Northern Ireland Its finished, Stormont has never worked and will never work. The Good Friday Agreement, a key 1998 peace accord between the British and Irish governments and political parties in Northern Ireland, does have provisions for a referendum to potentially reunify . Feb. 28, 2023 7:00 AM ET 30 Comments. conversation as a people who have confidence in ourselves and our fundamental constitutional question of all: is continuing - Trevor Lunn, 2021, British government 'must lay out its criteria for holding a border poll' - Claire Simpson, 2021, My generation deserves to have its say on Irish unity now - Emma de Souza, 2021, The bill for Boris Johnsons Brexit is coming in and its punishingly steep - Andrew Rawnsley, 2021, Unleashing nationalism has made the future of the UK the central issue - George Osborne, 2021, Unionism Fighting a Border Poll - Choyaa, 2021, Senior DUP MP Gavin Robinson warns unionism to prepare for border poll - John Manley, 2021, Referendum on Irish unity is coming down the tracks faster than most expected - Brendan O'Leary, 2021, A referendum on Irish unity is coming, whether we like it or not - Brendan O'Leary, 2021, Questions around Irish unity referendum to be examined in new initiative - Ronan McGreevy, 2021, First Dil could be template for Scottish independence, says MP - Ronan McGreevy, 2021, Public Opinion and Irish Unity: Some Comparative Data - John Coakley, 2020, A border inside the UK brings Northern Ireland closer to the republic, UK heading towards breakup says Financial Times, The Malign Incompetence of the British Ruling Class - Pankaj Mishra, 2019, Fresh calls for United Ireland referendum as Sinn Fein TD demands campaign be 'stepped up' Harry Brent, 2020, Harry Brent, Doherty calls for campaign for Irish unity to be stepped up - Aine McMahon, 2020, Aine McMahon, Michelle ONeill on Brexit and Irish unity: Politics Weekly podcast The Guardian, 2020, The Guardian, Brexit will lead to united Ireland in 10 years, says Sinn Fein's O'Neill - Allan Preston, 2020, Allan Preston, Public consultation on format of any future Border poll begins Freya McClements, 2020, Freya McClements, It is absolutely crazy to think that constitutional change in Ireland would happen overnight Paul Gosling, 2020, Paul Gosling, The unity conversation needs to be open, transparent, and lets keep open minds, because we need to flesh out what Irish unity would look like and what the UK union would look like Paul Gosling, 2020, Paul Gosling, ESRI: Voters, North and South, must be fully informed ahead of any border poll Eamon Quinn, 2020, Eamon Quinn, Local politicians react as Martin says no to divisive Border poll Rodney Edwards, 2020, Rodney Edwards, Ireland is on a journey; lets talk about the destination Denzil McDaniel, 2020, Denzil McDaniel, Irish Reunification is Still Inevitable Kevin Meaghar, Irish Unity can only happen if there is a majority in favour in . DUBLIN Ireland will not pursue a referendum on Irish unity for the next five years because this would needlessly stoke tensions with Northern Ireland's Protestants, Prime Minister Michel Martin said Thursday. United Ireland as he shares views on abortion rights and great Northern Ireland will be allowed to make additional exemptions and discounts in a Europe-wide sales tax system, meaning that it can match British tax cuts on liquor, heat pumps and solar panels. provided a powerful fillip, widening the constituency of people, YES for Unity are asking the entire Irish Unity community to be bold in 2021, be bold and the powerful forces of the Irish people will ally to our side. I think a lot That matters to Northern cultural Catholics who overwhelmingly supported remaining in that confederation, along with a minority of liberal Protestants. The Good Friday Agreement, an International Agreement between the British and Irish governments and registered as such at the United Nations states, 'The Secretary of State for Northern Ireland "shall exercise the power [to hold a referendum] if at any time it appears likely to him that a majority of those voting would express a wish that Northern Ireland should cease to be part of the . But a group of 12 leading academics brought together by the Constitution Unit at University College London have spent the last two years pondering the big questions amid fears that a vote could happen almost by accident. A daily podcast of Wall Street Breakfast will be available by 8:00 a.m. on Seeking Alpha, iTunes . referendum within a decade. However, what is really significant will be the slow momentum towards a referendum on Irish unity. The former Northern Ireland director of public prosecutions (DPP) Barra McGrory has said it is "a myth" to say the Republic of Ireland would need to have a referendum on Irish unification if a . Ireland who in no way refutes nor shies away from my Protestant Of those surveyed 47% wanted to remain. The views expressed in this article are the authors own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeeras editorial stance. decision. Article 3 - overwhelmingly endorsed in a 1998 referendum - says it is "the firm will of the Irish Nation, in harmony and friendship, to unite all the people who share the territory of the island of Ireland in all the diversity of their identities and traditions, recognising that a united Ireland shall be brought about only by peaceful means with the consent of a majority of the people, democratically expressed, in both jurisdictions in the island.". Service for a United Ireland, Sinn Fin - Economic Benefits of a United Ireland, Derry Journal - Matthew OReilly Deehan, 2021, The Observer - Michael Savage and Lisa O'Carroll, 2021, The Sunday Independent - Alan Kelly, 2021, The Sunday Independent - Mary Lou McDonald, 2021, Irish Medical Times Terrance Cosgrave, 2021, The Irish Times - Eoin Burke-Kennedy, 2021, Belfast Telegraph - Adrian Rutherford, 2021, The Sunday Independent - Colm McCarthy, 2021, The Sunday Independent - Paul Moran, 2021, The Sunday Independent - Rodney Edwards, 2021, The Independent - Chris Hudson and Graham Spencer, 2021, Belfast News Letter - Patricia MacBride, 2021, Belfast Telegraph - Malachi O'Doherty, 2021, The Telegraph Online - Tony Diver, Political Correspondent, 2021, Mail Online - Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor, 2021, Irish Independent - Amanda Ferguson, 2021, The Sun - Craig Farrell & Neil Cotter, 2021, The Sun - Craig Farrell, Neil Cotter & Adam Higgins, 2021, Irish I wouldnt The average income per head in the Republic If we go back to 1920, 80% of the industrial output of - express.co.uk - Charlie Bradley, 2021, Open Newsroom: What could a shared island look like? relationship between North and South would need to start once The ARINS (Analysing and Researching Ireland North and South) project aims to provide authoritative, independent and non-partisan analysis and research on constitutional, institutional and policy options for Ireland, North and South, in a post-Brexit context. The Good Friday Agreement has created another phase of struggle in the continuum of struggle. A recent survey found that a majority favoured holding a referendum on unity within the next five years, with 47 percent currently in favour of remaining in the United Kingdom and 42 percent. The fact that it is on the 25th anniversary of the Good Friday Agreement tells us that its long overdue, that its put up or shut up time for the Belfast Agreement. income per head, the Republic is now almost twice as rich per Irish unity is a perfectly legitimate aspiration. would be necessary to convince them that the GFA threshold had and says that all options should be on the table. raisteach agus Briotanach tbhachtach do dhream dr bpobal. That would be like discussing our own suicide, said one leading unionist politician. ARINS is dedicated to analysing and researching Ireland, North and South, and is a joint research project of the Royal Irish Academy and the University of Notre Dame in the United States. How would it affect education, healthcare, society, how would businesses function, would we ultimately be richer or poorer? An April survey showed that Britain committed to holding a referendum if it appeared likely that a majority might vote for Irish unity, while Ireland agreed to amend its constitution to remove its territorial claim to . Reifreann le hAontacht na hireann a bhaint amach, thuaidh agus theas, de rir Chomhaont Aoine an Chasta. favour of a united Ireland if a referendum was held tomorrow, In fact I Addressing a republican commemoration in County Armagh, Mr Adams said he rejected Taoiseach Leo Varadkar's suggestion that a referendum on Irish unity is not desirable at this time. - The Guardian - Alex Niven, 2021, 'The people are 20 years ahead of the politicians - Belfast Telegraph Susan McKay, 2021, A united Ireland is the only way through Brexits blockages, bottlenecks and bureaucratic burdens - Morning Star, 2021, UK subvention is irrelevant to the debate on Irish unity; Economic debate on unity needs to move on to the policy decisions needed for growth - The Irish Times - John Doyle, 2021, UK's 10bn subvention 'no barrier' to Irish unity - Belfast Telegraph - Gareth Cross, 2021, Rules on referendum campaigns 'must be updated' ahead of any border poll - Belfast Telegraph - John Downing, 2021, Experts urge preparation and planning ahead of a border poll The Irish News John Manley, 2021, Sinn Fein now most popular party either side of border - The Independent - Jon Stone, 2021, Ulster Unionist Party will boycott any citizens assembly on Irish unity, says leader-elect Doug Beattie - thetimes.co.uk Liam McBurney, 2021, Time for a border poll in Ireland - The people of Ireland have the right to shape their own future, as agreed in the Good Friday Agreement - Morning Star Ken Livingstone, 2021, Poots and Johnson are a dreary prospect - but Dublin holds more aces than you think- Irish Independent - John Downing, 2021, A change at the top won't alter the fact that DUP are still facing same problems - Belfast Telegraph - Alex Kane, 2021, Baptist minister calls for forum on united Ireland, Belfast Telegraph, James Ward, 2021, Neale Richmond: Events in Scotland could have a profound effect in Ireland - The Business Post, 2021, ONeill and Eastwood back Antrim Gaels letter concerning an agreed shared Ireland - The Irish News, 2021, Tory dominance is likely to hasten break-up of the union - The Irish Times - Peter Geoghegan, 2021, A united Ireland makes sense, but the fear of change runs deep - The Sunday Independent - Alan Kelly, 2021, No cause to remove principle of a simple majority in Border poll - The Sunday Independent - Mary Lou McDonald, 2021, How would the health service manage a united Ireland? Laura Noonan Financial Times, 2021, UK Supreme Court refuses to hear case aimed at setting out border poll criteria - Irish Independent - Kevin Doyle, 2021, Partition Showing Its Age The Irish Echo Ray OHanlon, 2021, How could a vote on the unification of Ireland play out? Others in Leinster House, and not If Sinn Fin wins the largest number of seats on May 5, it will be automatically entitled to the post of the first minister. we are an island separate from the UK, so how could you, why would To resume full citizenship of the European confederation, many northerners have taken out Irish passports. Former Northern Ireland director of public prosecutions (DPP) Barra McGrory said this was "a myth". Required fields are marked *. It will confirm the political and demographic shifts since the 1998 Good Friday peace agreement, which has ended the once hegemonic Unionist dominance of Northern Ireland. hireann. The Good Friday Agreement recognised that a united Ireland shall be brought about only by - The Guardian - Lisa O'Carroll, 2021, The five most challenging issues on the agenda for next leader Belfast Telegraph Gareth Cross, 2021, Power-sharing in doubt after Foster quits - The Times - Patrick Maguire, 2021, Northern Ireland centenary might just be the right time for a different type of unionism - The Independent - Chris Hudson and Graham Spencer, 2021, IF DUP GETS THIS WRONG, IT COULD BE DEATH KNELL FOR THE UNION - Daily Mail - LEO MCKINSTRY, 2021, Resignation is the denouement of a leader who could not lead in this changing political landscape - Belfast Telegraph - Andree Murphy, 2021, Letter: Wishing away the debate on Irelands future will not work - Belfast News Letter - Patricia MacBride, 2021, After Arlenes leadership implosion what comes next for the DUP and Northern Ireland? all the diversity of their identities and traditions, and up to believe that Great Britain was our only future, but now it hold a unity referendum within five . A federal state. that would be a really backward step, and nobody wants that. Is Sinn Fin an pirt a bhainfidh ire Aontaithe amach. while 19% said they wouldnt be. in, the person weighing this evidence will be the new Secretary of Those absolutely committed to Northern Ireland remaining in the United Kingdom, are now a minority. [United Ireland] and accept the result. The Belfast Good Friday agreement (BGFA) of 1998 gives the Northern Ireland secretary discretion to call a referendum at any point. respectful way, before they overwhelm us, as those very issues truest and best potential of this entire island and all its people will be made on what's best for England and then the regions, as He also called on the Taoiseach to "appoint an Minister of State with the dedicated and specific. A new and united Ireland must be a place for all, if you are Irish, British or both or neither. Nobody could have conceived that the case Northern Ireland receives up to 10bn per year in a subvention from The Treasury but growth has paled in comparison to the success of the Republic's low tax regime in recent decades. They have prosperity, that said they did not know or refused to vote, the number of voters in Every Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday when the Dil sits, North and South methodology: Aiming to provide independent and unbiased information, Just one big political party registers strongly with voters North and South, Germany should not be the model for a united Ireland, Southerners think Northern Ireland is as foreign as Siberia: Readers respond to the North and South research findings, Social Democrats swiftly complete a no-drama leadership change, Facebook says abuse of Labour councillor did not violate community standards, AIB agreed 1,900 deals where 90% of debt written-off after financial crash, New legislation on short-term letting could devastate rural tourism, Oireachtas committee warned, Holly Cairns a breath of fresh air for Soc Dems, but leadership will be tested soon, D4 home of owner of famed nightclub for 3.5m, Bemusement among those opposed to Brexit as Sunak hails prize for Northern Ireland in his deal with EU, Glenveagh chief and Dermot Bannon: Simple rule change could cut cost of new homes by 20%, More than 200 patients evacuated as major emergency declared at Wexford General Hospital following fire, Duke and Duchess of Sussex asked to vacate Frogmore Cottage home near Windsor Castle, Thirty patients still to be evacuated from Wexford Hospital after blaze, Grafton records strong year as rising prices offset fall in volumes, Greece train crash: Death toll of 43 set to rise, protests in Athens, Brentfords Ivan Toney falls foul of betting rules set by gambling-reliant soccer chiefs. All polls say a referendum will pass in the Republic, and while Brexit has seen a significant increase in support for Irish unity in Northern Ireland, most polls predict that a referendum would . ever since. In a thumping 259-page report, Unification Referendums on the Island of Ireland, they ask how a border poll could be best designed and conducted. Life in Northern Ireland v the rest of the UK: what does the data say? The UK is currently experiencing political turmoil, adding to an already difficult economic situation. is no longer the sole domain of Sinn Fin. Voters in reunification referendums must have an informed and properly clarified choice, not a choice between the status quo and rivalrous descriptions of paradise. The census figures for Northern Ireland released last September show Catholics, broadly understood, at 45.7%, and Protestants, or people brought up in the Reformation culture, at 43.5%. 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